by Joe | Aug 29, 2017 | Climate science, Research
David Stainforth argued in a pair of co-authored articles in 2007 that climate models were so uncertain no individual model should be taken seriously as a predictor of a single event (in that case, a temperature rise). This post explores the arguments presented, and...
by Joe | Aug 29, 2017 | Climate science, Research
A major approach – perhaps the major approach – to the treatment of models in an ensemble is via skill scores. These measure the accuracy of a prediction when compared to an observation. The motivating question behind their development is this: how can one compare...
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