My PhD research focuses on policy decision-making about highly uncertain sciences. At the moment, I have two case studies:
- hurricane science, particularly as used by the insurance industry,
- earthquake science, particularly as used by national disaster management agencies.
I am interested in a cluster of questions arising from these decision contexts. These include:
- What is the proper way of classifying uncertainty? Once we understand the varieties of uncertainty, what decision-theoretic tools are relevant/applicable to each? How does one identify a particular kind of uncertainty?
- How should non-expert policy makers respond to disagreement within a science? In particular, how useful and applicable are various techniques in the social/formal epistemology literature, such as opinion pooling?
- How best can institutions of policy decision-making support the normatively preferred answers to the above questions?
My blog contains a section of research-related posts. You can find more formal examples of my work below.
Work in progress
My Master’s research was in particle physics.
- Working paper on effective field theories as a method in Weak physics (2014)
- Analysis of the lepton polarisation asymmetries of B¯ → K¯ 2(1430) ℓ+ ℓ− decay, Eur. Phys. J. C (2011) 71: 1751